It could EASILY be 5 lbs of water. I can easily gain over 10 pounds of water. When I was having TOM monthly (not I use my birth control like seasonique to have periods only a few times a year), I gained 10 - 15 lbs in water weight every month (miserable!).
For some reason, I've really been retaining water badly over the past week. It's been really hot, and I tend to retain water when it's hot (I don't know if there's a scientific reason behind this, or I'm just imagining it), but I've been staying well within my foodplan, and watching sodium, so I know it's not that. I've even turned the air conditioning to as cool as I dare (due to the electric bill) and have been pushing the water. I'm with you that the water has to leave eventually, but at the moment it's being rather stubborn.
This is why I think my food journal helps me so much. I know that I'm eating sensibly, so sensibly that it's too early to consider dropping my calories (or in my case, exchanges), but it's hard to be patient. Though I've got to tell you, that for me, when the water releases, it does it suddenly, and it is cool to see a five or six pound loss within a couple of days. It makes me almost feel like a normal person.
It's hard to be patient, but hang in there. Being patient is the hardest part, because we're conditioned to thing "Agh, what's the use, I might as well eat what I want if the weight isn't going to come off!" Of course, we know that's stupid logic, but it's so hard not to fall into that trap when we're frustrated. So, do what you can to stay calm, whle your body sorts everything out.
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