I could be WAY off but sometimes our weight changes are behind the times with what we eat. I can eat a huge pile of junk and not see a gain for a couple days or more. Everyone is different though.
Really the only way to tell is a long term trend coupled with tracking everything you eat, no matter if you are on plan or not. You can't really tell what's going to happen in just one week. You have to give it time and look at the big picture. You may be unconsciously eating less while "off" plan, you could be choosing stuff with less sodium thus retaining less water, or eating things that are more filling etc. The only way to see these patterns is to keep track.
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