If it's gone, I count it (Heck, if I had to have an amputation, I'd probably count that too, but that's just me). I do try not to get too upset with water weight gain, and do try to keep wooshes downward celebrations in perspective.
For me, huge water fluctuations on a daily basis are possible, especially around TOM, as well as some other fluctuations. An unexpected gain or loss of 8 or even 10 lbs isn't terribly unusual (though usually it's 4 to 6).
If I don't drink 8 to 10 glasses, I do retain a pound or two.
If I eat low carb, I don't retain nearly as much water.
If I eat high carb, and especially grain foods (and really, really if that grain is wheat), I tend to retain quite a bit of water.
If I have a sinus infection or cold, I tend to retain water.
If I have a flu or a fever, I tend to lose water (sometimes enough that I have to make effort to replace it).
The week before my period, I gain water.
The week after my period, I lose the water.
If I exercise much harder than I'm used to - I initially lose water, but then gain a little more than I lost, and then it returns to normal (the cycle takes about 5 days).
I know a lot of people warn against daily weigh-ins, but it was daily weigh-ins that taught me about water weight gain fluctuations. Because the water fluctuations can be so much larger than even my best losses, it's really helped me not get discouraged when I see large weight gains even (especially) when I've been on-plan calorie and excercise - wise.
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