I think it's completely variable.
I have gone down mostly in band size more than cup size, which means I'm in a larger cup size than before I gained weight. I'm not exactly sad about that
. Although I wasn't exactly small-breasted before I gained, I wasn't large either. Then again, the last 5-10 pounds might make all the difference. Breast size doesn't always go down evenly across your weight loss. It might happen mostly in one particular range - earlier for some people, later for others.
So you just don't know. Not a great answer, but you really just don't know until you get there.