Hi from another New Bedford IPer!
I took a while to drop sizes - I don't think I was able to get into a size 14 for a couple of months. Some of that is because I was wearing size 16 and 18 pants that had been stretched out with my growing rear end

By the time I finally committed to losing weight those pants were probably closer to an 18 than a 16
Every body is SO different, there's no way to predict where the weight will come off and how that will translate into sizes - but it WILL come off, just keep pushing forward!