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Is it really 80% diet?
Many people can & do lose weight without a lot of planned extra exercise, but that doesn't mean exercise can't help ... and, it can come from many different sources: such as just an active job where you walk a lot or are very physical. If you have a "sitting" job, then maybe some planned exercise would help for sure, like walking.
You said that a monitor you were wearing, said that you had only used 1600 calories one day, but you had already eaten 1650 worth of food. Are you sure that machine is accurate? Please correct me if I am wrong (anyone), but I thought you needed on average 2000 calories a day just to maintain your body weight; and that was before any extra exercise.
As stated here by Vex ...
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Think about it though, the average daily recommended calories for women is 2000...
If you weigh 175 lbs, and are moderately active (175 x 12 = 2100 calories). A very active person (usually means an athlete) might use x 15. A sedentary person would multiply that by only x 10 = 175 x 10 = 1750 to maintain. Now I realize this is not an exact science, but a rough guesstimate. At my weight, I should be losing 2.4 lbs a week, but I'm not even close -- so, I can only think that the reason is that I am not burning off nearly enough energy; and/or I have a very slow metabolism. So much for science ...
The other possibility is that I am not eating enough, and my body is refusing to allow me to lose very quickly; that is possible, I guess. Yet, others may say that I should eat much less, or that I am not eating the right kind of foods (i.e. by eating less carbs).
So, I can certainly understand why you are perplexed, esp after reading how much exercise you are doing, although you do admit that you have the odd sedentary day. Still, I would expect that you should be losing something. As VEX mentioned above, maybe our metabolisms ARE screwed up from all this dieting (excuse me, eating less).
PS ~ your example around Christmas: you were eating 2200 and not exercising at all. If you should have only eaten 1750 calories to maintain, that may have been why you gained, but I am surprised by how much. 2200-1750 = 450 x 31 days= 13950 divided by 3500 = about a 4 lb gain. Well, I suppose that's close.
The only advice I can offer, is to just keep going and tweak your plan here and there; mix it up a bit. Vary your calories: cycle them. Plus vary your exercise each day (EOD) to change it up a bit, and see what happens. Keep track, so you can see what works and what doesn't.
